feat(decide): cm-decide — typed calibrated decisions; Jev + local NLI backends; skill triage in shadow
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A third kind of decision-maker between deterministic code and a full LLM
call: Choice / Score / Noul questions answered as probability
distributions with a confidence, behind one Decider trait, with the
composition patterns (confidence gating, composite scoring, rerank) as
code. Two backends: TypeSafe's Jev over HTTP, and a DeBERTa-v3 MNLI
cross-encoder run in-process with candle (feature nli; metal/cuda).

decide-eval measures a backend on labelled cases the way judge-eval
measures the judge. eval/skill-triage.json: 20 mission tasks × 53 skills,
75 positives, hand-labelled. Measured 2026-09-21:

  lexical overlap        AUROC 0.851  [email protected] 0.47  top-k 48/75  ECE 0.095
  jev (named wording)    AUROC 0.989  [email protected] 0.84  top-k 63/75  ECE 0.064  213 ms
  jev (plain wording)    AUROC 0.970  [email protected] 0.66  top-k 52/75
  nli mnli-base          AUROC 0.790  [email protected] 0.28  top-k 38/75  ECE 0.263  1.5 s
  nli zeroshot-v2        AUROC 0.782  [email protected] 0.43  top-k 39/75  ECE 0.054  1.2 s

The vendor's calibration claim survives our data; the local cross-encoder
ranks below keyword overlap on either checkpoint or wording and is kept
as the measured negative, not shipped. A local backend would need the
logit-readout route over the fleet's 9B model — a separate spike.

Shadow: one Jev call per phase launch (spawned, 10 s cap, silent without
TYPESAFE_API_KEY) records a skill.triage event; the Skill-Use report
carries triage_p beside each skill's Trigger verdict. It selects nothing.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <[email protected]>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01WZb5A2kfVfjpdwSochkuHz
This commit is contained in:
Omar Sobh
2026-09-21 10:08:31 -05:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 5
parent 650a556029
commit 0a2bd6f868
17 changed files with 3203 additions and 87 deletions
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//! A local decision model: a DeBERTa-v3 MNLI cross-encoder, in-process.
//!
//! A Noul IS an entailment probability — P(the hypothesis follows from the
//! state) — and natural-language inference is the oldest working form of
//! zero-shot classification. A Choice is one hypothesis per option with a
//! softmax over their entailment logits; a Score is the same over ordered
//! levels, then the probability-weighted position. Nothing here reasons or
//! generates: one forward pass per (state, hypothesis) pair, the answer read
//! from the three-way head.
//!
//! What this does NOT have is the vendor's calibration training. Its
//! probabilities are as calibrated as MNLI made them, which on our domain is
//! an open question until `decide-eval` answers it; temperature scaling on
//! our own labelled cases is the standard fix and the `temperature` knob is
//! where it goes.
//!
//! Model files come from the Hugging Face hub on first use
//! (`CLAWMATES_NLI_MODEL`, default `cross-encoder/nli-deberta-v3-base`;
//! `-xsmall` is 4× faster and worse) or from `CLAWMATES_NLI_MODEL_DIR` for a
//! host with no egress. CPU by default; `metal`/`cuda` features select a GPU.
use std::collections::BTreeMap;
use std::path::PathBuf;
use std::sync::Mutex;
use std::time::Instant;
use candle_core::{DType, Device, Tensor};
use candle_nn::VarBuilder;
use candle_transformers::models::debertav2::{Config, DebertaV2SeqClassificationModel, Id2Label};
use tokenizers::{EncodeInput, InputSequence, PaddingParams, Tokenizer, TruncationParams};
use crate::{confidence_of, softmax, Answer, DecideError, Decider, Decision, Question};
pub const DEFAULT_MODEL: &str = "cross-encoder/nli-deberta-v3-base";
/// Token budget per pair. DeBERTa-v3 was trained at 512; the STATE is what
/// gets cut when a pair is too long (`OnlyFirst`), so the hypothesis — the
/// question — always survives whole.
const MAX_TOKENS: usize = 512;
pub struct Nli {
model: Mutex<DebertaV2SeqClassificationModel>,
tokenizer: Tokenizer,
device: Device,
/// Index of each MNLI label in the head, read from `config.json`.
entail: usize,
contra: usize,
/// Divides the logits before the softmax. 1.0 = the model's own
/// calibration; fitted on labelled cases by the eval when it disagrees.
temperature: f64,
name: String,
}
pub struct NliConfig {
pub model: String,
pub dir: Option<PathBuf>,
pub temperature: f64,
}
impl NliConfig {
pub fn from_env() -> Self {
Self {
model: std::env::var("CLAWMATES_NLI_MODEL")
.ok()
.filter(|m| !m.trim().is_empty())
.unwrap_or_else(|| DEFAULT_MODEL.to_string()),
dir: std::env::var("CLAWMATES_NLI_MODEL_DIR").ok().map(PathBuf::from),
temperature: std::env::var("CLAWMATES_NLI_TEMPERATURE")
.ok()
.and_then(|t| t.parse().ok())
.unwrap_or(1.0),
}
}
}
impl Nli {
pub fn load(cfg: NliConfig) -> Result<Self, DecideError> {
let (config_path, tokenizer_path, weights_path) = match &cfg.dir {
Some(dir) => (
dir.join("config.json"),
dir.join("tokenizer.json"),
dir.join("model.safetensors"),
),
None => {
let api = hf_hub::api::sync::Api::new()
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("hf hub: {e}")))?;
let repo = api.model(cfg.model.clone());
let get = |f: &str| {
repo.get(f)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("fetch {f} for {}: {e}", cfg.model)))
};
(get("config.json")?, get("tokenizer.json")?, get("model.safetensors")?)
}
};
let config_text = std::fs::read_to_string(&config_path)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("{}: {e}", config_path.display())))?;
let config: Config = serde_json::from_str(&config_text)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("config.json: {e}")))?;
// The head's label order is the model's, not ours: read it.
let id2label: Id2Label = serde_json::from_str::<serde_json::Value>(&config_text)
.ok()
.and_then(|v| v.get("id2label").cloned())
.and_then(|v| {
v.as_object().map(|m| {
m.iter()
.filter_map(|(k, v)| {
Some((k.parse::<u32>().ok()?, v.as_str()?.to_lowercase()))
})
.collect()
})
})
.ok_or_else(|| DecideError::Config("config.json has no id2label".into()))?;
let find = |name: &str| {
id2label
.iter()
.find(|(_, v)| v.as_str() == name)
.map(|(k, _)| *k as usize)
.ok_or_else(|| DecideError::Config(format!("head has no {name:?} label")))
};
let entail = find("entailment")?;
// MNLI heads have three labels; the zero-shot-tuned checkpoints
// collapse to entailment / not_entailment. Either "no" label works.
let contra = find("contradiction").or_else(|_| find("not_entailment"))?;
let device = pick_device();
// Buffered, not mmap'd: the workspace denies `unsafe`, and the weights
// (740 MB for -base) are read once into memory and kept for the life
// of the process anyway.
let bytes = std::fs::read(&weights_path)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("{}: {e}", weights_path.display())))?;
let vb = VarBuilder::from_buffered_safetensors(bytes, DType::F32, &device)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("weights: {e}")))?;
// The backbone's tensors are `deberta.*`; the pooler and classifier
// read from the root. candle's own example does exactly this.
let vb = vb.set_prefix("deberta");
let model = DebertaV2SeqClassificationModel::load(vb, &config, Some(id2label))
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("model: {e}")))?;
let mut tokenizer = Tokenizer::from_file(&tokenizer_path)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("tokenizer: {e}")))?;
tokenizer.with_padding(Some(PaddingParams::default()));
tokenizer
.with_truncation(Some(TruncationParams {
max_length: MAX_TOKENS,
strategy: tokenizers::TruncationStrategy::OnlyFirst,
..Default::default()
}))
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Config(format!("truncation: {e}")))?;
Ok(Self {
model: Mutex::new(model),
tokenizer,
device,
entail,
contra,
temperature: cfg.temperature.max(1e-3),
name: format!("nli:{}", cfg.model.rsplit('/').next().unwrap_or(&cfg.model)),
})
}
/// Entailment and contradiction logits for every (state, hypothesis)
/// pair, one batch, one forward pass.
fn logits(&self, state: &str, hypotheses: &[String]) -> Result<Vec<(f64, f64)>, DecideError> {
if hypotheses.is_empty() {
return Ok(Vec::new());
}
let inputs: Vec<EncodeInput> = hypotheses
.iter()
.map(|h| {
EncodeInput::Dual(
InputSequence::Raw(state.into()),
InputSequence::Raw(h.as_str().into()),
)
})
.collect();
let encodings = self
.tokenizer
.encode_batch(inputs, true)
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Model(format!("tokenize: {e}")))?;
let to_tensor = |rows: Vec<&[u32]>| -> Result<Tensor, DecideError> {
let stacked: Vec<Tensor> = rows
.iter()
.map(|r| Tensor::new(*r, &self.device))
.collect::<Result<_, _>>()
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Model(e.to_string()))?;
Tensor::stack(&stacked, 0).map_err(|e| DecideError::Model(e.to_string()))
};
let ids = to_tensor(encodings.iter().map(|e| e.get_ids()).collect())?;
let mask = to_tensor(encodings.iter().map(|e| e.get_attention_mask()).collect())?;
let types = to_tensor(encodings.iter().map(|e| e.get_type_ids()).collect())?;
let out = {
let model = self.model.lock().map_err(|_| DecideError::Model("model lock".into()))?;
model
.forward(&ids, Some(types), Some(mask))
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Model(format!("forward: {e}")))?
};
let rows: Vec<Vec<f32>> = out
.to_dtype(DType::F32)
.and_then(|t| t.to_vec2())
.map_err(|e| DecideError::Model(e.to_string()))?;
Ok(rows
.iter()
.map(|r| {
(
r[self.entail] as f64 / self.temperature,
r[self.contra] as f64 / self.temperature,
)
})
.collect())
}
/// P(yes) for one hypothesis: entailment against contradiction, the
/// neutral class left out — the standard zero-shot NLI reading.
fn p_yes(entail: f64, contra: f64) -> f64 {
softmax(&[entail, contra])[0]
}
}
fn pick_device() -> Device {
#[cfg(feature = "cuda")]
if let Ok(d) = Device::new_cuda(0) {
return d;
}
#[cfg(feature = "metal")]
if let Ok(d) = Device::new_metal(0) {
return d;
}
Device::Cpu
}
/// The hypothesis a question becomes. Kept in one place because the wording
/// is the whole "prompt" this backend has, and the eval is what tunes it.
pub fn hypotheses(question: &Question) -> Vec<String> {
match question {
Question::Noul { instructions, criteria } => match criteria {
Some(c) => vec![
format!("{instructions} {}", c.yes),
format!("{instructions} {}", c.no),
],
None => vec![instructions.clone()],
},
Question::Choice { instructions, criteria } => criteria
.iter()
.map(|(name, desc)| match desc {
Some(d) => format!("{instructions} {name}: {d}"),
None => format!("{instructions} {name}"),
})
.collect(),
Question::Score { instructions, criteria } => criteria
.iter()
.map(|level| format!("{instructions} {level}"))
.collect(),
}
}
#[async_trait::async_trait]
impl Decider for Nli {
fn name(&self) -> &str {
&self.name
}
async fn decide(
&self,
state: &str,
questions: &BTreeMap<String, Question>,
) -> Result<Decision, DecideError> {
let started = Instant::now();
// Every hypothesis of every question in one batch; then read each
// question's slice back out.
let mut all: Vec<String> = Vec::new();
let mut spans: Vec<(String, usize, usize)> = Vec::new();
for (id, q) in questions {
let hs = hypotheses(q);
let start = all.len();
all.extend(hs);
spans.push((id.clone(), start, all.len()));
}
let logits = self.logits(state, &all)?;
let mut answers = BTreeMap::new();
for (id, start, end) in spans {
let slice = &logits[start..end];
let q = &questions[&id];
let answer = match q {
Question::Noul { criteria, .. } => {
let p = if criteria.is_some() {
// yes-description vs no-description: which does the
// state entail more?
softmax(&[slice[0].0, slice[1].0])[0]
} else {
Self::p_yes(slice[0].0, slice[0].1)
};
Answer::Noul { noul: p }
}
Question::Choice { criteria, .. } => {
let probs = softmax(&slice.iter().map(|(e, _)| *e).collect::<Vec<_>>());
let names: Vec<&String> = criteria.keys().collect();
let (best, _) = probs
.iter()
.enumerate()
.fold((0, f64::NEG_INFINITY), |acc, (i, p)| if *p > acc.1 { (i, *p) } else { acc });
Answer::Choice {
choice: names[best].clone(),
confidence: confidence_of(&probs),
probabilities: names.iter().map(|n| (*n).clone()).zip(probs).collect(),
}
}
Question::Score { .. } => {
let probs = softmax(&slice.iter().map(|(e, _)| *e).collect::<Vec<_>>());
let score = probs.iter().enumerate().map(|(i, p)| i as f64 * p).sum();
Answer::Score {
score,
confidence: confidence_of(&probs),
probabilities: probs,
}
}
};
answers.insert(id, answer);
}
Ok(Decision {
model: self.name.clone(),
answers,
usage: None,
latency: started.elapsed(),
})
}
}
#[cfg(test)]
mod tests {
use super::*;
#[test]
fn every_question_becomes_the_expected_hypotheses() {
let n = Question::noul("The task needs web search.");
assert_eq!(hypotheses(&n), vec!["The task needs web search."]);
let c = Question::choice("This work is", [("research", Some("reading")), ("coding", None)]);
let h = hypotheses(&c);
assert_eq!(h, vec!["This work is coding", "This work is research: reading"]);
let s = Question::score("Severity:", ["cosmetic", "blocking"]);
assert_eq!(hypotheses(&s).len(), 2);
}
#[test]
fn p_yes_is_entailment_against_contradiction() {
assert!(Nli::p_yes(3.0, -3.0) > 0.99);
assert!(Nli::p_yes(-3.0, 3.0) < 0.01);
assert!((Nli::p_yes(0.0, 0.0) - 0.5).abs() < 1e-9);
}
}